Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000772 0.000882 0.000998 0.001130 0.001274 0.001428 0.001604
2025-01-26 0.000612 0.000766 0.000941 0.001152 0.001399 0.001676 0.002009
2025-02-02 0.000527 0.000703 0.000911 0.001173 0.001491 0.001860 0.002317
2025-02-09 0.000445 0.000629 0.000857 0.001155 0.001527 0.001973 0.002541
2025-02-16 0.000377 0.000564 0.000805 0.001129 0.001547 0.002060 0.002729
2025-02-23 0.000338 0.000530 0.000787 0.001142 0.001612 0.002202 0.002984
2025-03-02 0.000303 0.000499 0.000768 0.001152 0.001670 0.002333 0.003227
2025-03-09 0.000260 0.000450 0.000720 0.001117 0.001666 0.002381 0.003363
2025-03-16 0.000223 0.000406 0.000676 0.001082 0.001658 0.002422 0.003488
2025-03-23 0.000200 0.000381 0.000656 0.001080 0.001693 0.002520 0.003688
2025-03-30 0.000181 0.000360 0.000639 0.001081 0.001730 0.002620 0.003892
2025-04-06 0.000161 0.000336 0.000617 0.001071 0.001751 0.002697 0.004066
2025-04-13 0.000141 0.000310 0.000590 0.001053 0.001760 0.002757 0.004221
2025-04-20 0.000132 0.000302 0.000591 0.001078 0.001833 0.002910 0.004505
2025-04-27 0.000123 0.000293 0.000589 0.001097 0.001896 0.003050 0.004775
2025-05-04 0.000109 0.000272 0.000565 0.001079 0.001903 0.003108 0.004930
2025-05-11 0.000095 0.000250 0.000537 0.001055 0.001898 0.003147 0.005056
2025-05-18 0.000088 0.000241 0.000533 0.001067 0.001950 0.003272 0.005308
2025-05-25 0.000081 0.000232 0.000527 0.001076 0.001996 0.003388 0.005549
2025-06-01 0.000070 0.000211 0.000497 0.001043 0.001974 0.003399 0.005637
2025-06-08 0.000060 0.000192 0.000469 0.001011 0.001949 0.003407 0.005718
2025-06-15 0.000054 0.000182 0.000458 0.001009 0.001975 0.003492 0.005915
2025-06-22 0.000049 0.000173 0.000449 0.001009 0.002005 0.003582 0.006122